Reaction of Electricity Consumption to Temperature Changes based on IPCC Scenario: Case Study of Babolsar

Document Type : Original Article

Author

University of Mazandaran

10.22080/jeem.2024.27717.1012

Abstract

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between temperature and electricity consumption in Babolsar. For this purpose, we used daily electricity consumption data and average daily temperature from 2010 to 2021, with Time-series econometrics, to determine the relationship between average temperature and consumption. This method showed that there is the highest correlation between the average temperature and electricity consumption in Babolsar in especially in August. Then the temperature of Babolsar was simulated using the scenarios of the fifth report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Simulation of all climate scenarios predicted higher temperatures from the recorded past temperature at the Babolsar station. The results of the scenario with the lowest radiative forcing predicted about 1 ° C in July and August that is high. Therefore, for future years, especially in these two months, it is necessary, to plan for extra power consumption in Babolsar.. .

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Volume 1, Issue 2
October 2023
  • Receive Date: 09 September 2024
  • Revise Date: 18 September 2024
  • Accept Date: 18 September 2024
  • Publish Date: 23 September 2023